More
specifically, a simple and practical strategic framework (The Value Tree)
adapted from a popular enterprise valuation heuristic, which can be used to identify,
coordinate and prioritize initiatives and investments that create shareholder
value.
This article
is Part 1 of a two-part series. Here, I introduce the Value Tree framework. And
in Part 2, I delve into its elements to showcase its application. This
series is not about valuation methodologies. Rather, it’s about adapting
the simple valuation formula into a strategic framework that isolates the principal
drivers of shareholder value, and using it to organize, prioritize and even
quantify different strategic initiatives based on their potential to deliver measurable
shareholder value growth. It’s a handy, and universally applicable, tool for
strategy professionals to tie together the numerous, and often disconnected, corporate
initiatives into a cohesive and coordinated portfolio. And tie everything back
to (what should be) the number-one goal of every corporate executive: creating
shareholder value.
As I suggested in my recent article on the value of the strategy function, and the capabilities needed to realize it, the main purpose of the Chief Strategy Officer (CSO) and the strategy group is to provide the rest of the organization a compelling and consistent north star. And to realize that purpose, they must deliver:
- Clarity of values, vision, mission, objectives, and near-term execution plan; and
- Coordination of narratives, agendas, initiatives, KPIs, processes and execution activities
The
challenge most companies (and their CSOs) face is that corporate initiatives
are often born reactively in different corners of the organization, without necessarily
being unified by a common vision, narrative or overarching plan. An M&A
deal led by one business unit, a new product development led by another unit, a
PR campaign led by marketing, a cost optimization effort led by finance may all
be happening at the same time and appear to be of equal strategic importance.
How does the CSO tie them together in a cohesive story? And how does the leadership
team determine if they are indeed of equal importance?
In addition,
as strategy is seen as less ‘formulaic’ or structured of a
discipline than, say, finance, HR or even sales, a newly hired CSO often starts
from scratch, without a universal playbook or a set of standard tools and
processes. After all, shouldn’t the strategy be unique to the company, the
industry, the moment in time, the leadership team? And therefore, should be a
tabula rasa and developed de novo each time, without a preestablished formula,
method or process? The answer to the first question is, of course, ‘yes.’
But I believe the answer to the second question is ‘definitely no.’
There’s one
thing that is fundamentally and universally true of all companies and their leadership
teams, in any industry circumstance and any moment in time. A sort of a ‘first
principle’ of corporate strategy. And that is that everything corporate
teams do should be creating incremental shareholder value – that is,
making their company more valuable in the eyes of investors. Conversely,
creating shareholder value should dictate everything they do.
Regardless
of the project or initiative, and who sponsored it, how complex it is, whether it
aims to deliver ‘hard’ numbers or ‘soft’ qualitative results – if
it can deliver meaningful shareholder value, then it should be prioritized. If
it cannot, then why are scare corporate resources expended on it? Even initiatives
that help a company advance its strategic story in qualitative ways can, and
should, be held to the same standard.
Anyone who has worked in investment banking or private equity, or has ever bought or sold a business, which includes trading shares on the public stock markets, is (or should be) well familiar with valuation multiples – one of the more simplistic, yet disarmingly useful, techniques for determining what a company is worth. The simple formula of “Enterprise Value = EBITDA x Multiple” is a nifty black box that combines various factors – both quantitative and qualitative, objective and subjective, measurable and mysterious – to provide a quick answer that otherwise financial analysts derive from massive and complex financial models.
The Value
Tree framework I propose (see Figure 1) makes use of the popular valuation formula:
Value = EBITDA x Multiple to create a universal recipe for identifying, prioritizing
and connecting corporate initiatives into a cohesive strategic story.
The multiples-based
valuation method simply postulates that a company’s worth is equal to
the operating profit it generates times a subjective factor of how
attractive investors believe these operating cash flows to be (compared to,
say, another company that generates the same cash flows). One (EBITDA) is based
on objective, measurable reality; the other (multiple) on subjective, ambiguous
perception.
The power of
this methodology is in its simplicity and its universality. It
reflects how things generally work in life and nature. A blend of seemingly
clashing, yet mutually reinforcing, dichotomies – science vs. art, rationality
vs. emotions, right brain vs. left brain, evidence vs. judgment, facts vs.
beliefs... The answer inevitably is: it’s a combination of these diametrical
factors.
This
framework, especially below its second tier, is not completely set in stone –
it can be customized and adapted to be even more relevant to a particular
business. The top two tiers will always be the same, based on the ‘Value = EBITDA
x Multiple’ formula. But how CSOs choose to decompose EBITDA or isolate
what drives the multiple is somewhat open to creative interpretations and
analytical adaptations. My version here is what I believe is the most universal,
easily understood, and broadly applicable adaptation of the framework. It is
also my best attempt are making it a mutually exclusive and
collectively exhaustive (MECE) construct – as all good strategic frameworks
should be.
In Part 2 of this series, I'll dive into the Value Tree framework one tier at a time,
and demonstrate how it can be applied by strategy executives to organize all corporate
initiatives into a cohesive portfolio and assign them priority based on their
potential to generate measurable shareholder value.
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